Monday, April 21, 2008

Earning seasion and technical analysis

TraderMike always cautions us that unknown earnings in the earning seasons makes the technical signals more choppy during earnings season: one news event can violate all readings in a flash.

[1] http://tradermike.net/2008/04/watchlist_for_april_11_2008/

Sunday, April 20, 2008

MARKET REVIEW : BULLISH (20.04.2008)

    SUMMARY

    CRB Index versus Bonds=>bullish
    CRB index=>Bullish
    Bonds =>bearish
    Oil=>bullish
    Gold=>Bullish to natural
    US Dollar=>?
    DJ Ind.Average=>Bullish
    S&P500=>Bullish
    NASDAQ=>Bullish
    VIX=>bearish

    The short-term (1 week) message is bullish to mixed. (Major trend is down)

    Growth index is gaining momentum

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    DETAILED

    CRB INDEX v.s. BONDS

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    CRB Index

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    Bonds

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    Crude Oil - Brent

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    Gold (fixing)

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    US Dollar

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    NASDAQ

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    DOWJONES IND.

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    S&P 500

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    VIX

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MARKET REVIEW: BEARISH (13.04.2008)

    SUMMARY

    CRB Index versus Bonds=>bullish
    CRB index=>Bullish
    Bonds=>bullish
    Oil=>bullish
    Gold=>Bullish
    US Dollar=>bearish
    DJ Ind.Average=>I did not analyse this
    S&P500=>I did not analyse this
    NASDAQ=>I did not analyse this
    VIX=>bullish

    The short-term (1 week) message is bearish. (Major trend is down)

    DAX STAGE ANALYSIS

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    DETAILED

    CRB INDEX v.s. BONDS

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    CRB Index

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    Bonds

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    Crude Oil - Brent

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    Gold (fixing)

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    US Dollar

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    VIX

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Sunday, April 6, 2008

MARKET REVIEW : BULLISH (06.04.2008)

    SUMMARY

    CRB Index versus Bonds=>Bearish
    CRB index=>Bullish
    Bonds=>Bearish
    Oil=>Bearish
    Gold=>bearish
    US Dollar=> bullish
    DJ Ind.Average=>bullish
    S&P500=>bullish
    NASDAQ=>bullish
    VIX=>Bearish

    The short-term (1 week) message is bullish. (Major trend is down)

    DAX STAGE ANALYSIS

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    DETAILED

    CRB INDEX v.s. BONDS

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    CRB Index

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    Is this really bearish?

    Bonds

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    Crude Oil - Brent

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    Gold (fixing)

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    US Dollar

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    Dow Jones Ind. Average

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    S&P 500

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    NASDAQ

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    VIX

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